| MOM-304 Complexity Ceiling ManagementDoes an action path still reach payments? | UnfavorableYes. The purchasing agent stays active and can still drive automatic payment approval. | FavorableNo. Nothing suspect or unverified can act on the payments hub. | FavorableNo. Nothing suspect or unverified can act on the payments hub. |
|---|
| MOM-405 Truth PreservationWhat evidence does it rely on? | UnfavorableRelies on the purchasing agent behaving as configured. The evidence that could show that (its configuration history) is unavailable. | FavorableRelies only on verified evidence: payroll and customer service independence. Nothing unverified is left able to approve a payment. | MixedRelies on no independence evidence. It also sets aside the verified evidence that payroll and customer service could continue. |
|---|
| MOM-305 Operating RiskWhat stops, and what keeps operating? | MixedMinimal. Only VND-17 trading stops. Purchasing keeps operating while operationally exposed. | MixedPurchasing degraded to manual at 35% throughput until recovery. Payroll, customer service and order intake continue. | UnfavorableOrder intake and purchasing halted for about 36 hours, then purchasing runs manually. Payroll release delayed about 29 hours. Customer service cannot see billing status while the ERP is halted. |
|---|
| MOM-001 Capital DisciplineWhat does it cost? | UnfavorableNo continuity cost; $1,840,000 of invoices released to an unverified account. | Favorable$60,950 manual fallback; $1,840,000 of invoices held. | Mixed$9,864,000 of order intake delayed; $19,550 manual fallback; $1,840,000 of invoices held. |
|---|
| MOM-505 Governance & AccountabilityWho must approve it? | FavorableIncident Commander (preauthorized). | FavorableIncident Commander (preauthorized), COO, CFO. | MixedIncident Commander (preauthorized), Executive escalation, CFO. |
|---|
| MOM-508 Board DecisioningWhich impact limits does it cross? | FavorableNone crossed. Executive committee and Board briefed on consequences. | FavorableNone crossed. Executive committee and Board briefed on consequences. | Mixed3 crossed: more than two critical workflows halted; payroll delayed; projected interruption of order intake longer than 4 hours. Executive committee engaged, Board informed. |
|---|
| Scenario recommendation | Recommend the alternative with the least operating interruption that leaves no action-permitting path from a suspect, confirmed or unverified component to a consequential payment. Result: Suspend automated purchasing with a manual fallback. |
|---|